You can read a published optimisation ladder as two ladders, one in seconds and one in joules, say which rungs deleted work and which bought hardware, and predict the divergence between a speedup and its energy saving from the hardware count alone.
Take any speedup you have achieved or read about, and split it the same way. For each step, write the latency factor, the power factor, and the quotient. Then state the speedup and the energy saving as two separate numbers. If a step raised the power and you cannot say by how much, that step's energy is unknown and so is the total, which is itself the finding.